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Mountain Weather Forecast

Issued: 2:40 PM PST Thursday, March 21, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Saturday

A weak ridge of high pressure strengthens through Friday morning. A deeper low spinning off the Oregon coast ejects weak disturbances northward into the region as the low center drifts northeastward. The interplay between these two weather features brings a mix of sun, clouds, and light bands of showery precipitation. The timing of these bands and the associated cloud cover will be difficult to predict precisely. At this time, it appears that the first band moves north from a weak circulation center just off the Washington Coast on Thursday afternoon. This feature spreads up to 0.1" of water equivalent into the Washington Cascades Thursday night, with higher amounts possible for the southern Olympics. Snow levels fluctuate around 5000 ft. The weak precipitation band likely dissipates near the Canadian border Friday morning, giving areas further south some fair weather with filtered sunshine, high cloud cover and freezing levels peaking around 6500-7500 ft.

The more substantial frontal rain band pushes the region from south to N as the broad closed low approaches Friday afternoon. Rain and higher elevation snow levels start around 5500-6000 ft, but drop to around 4000 ft where they remain fairly steady on Saturday. Light to moderate rain and snow focus peak in the southern Cascades Friday evening, the central Cascades overnight, and the northern Cascades throughout the day on Saturday. Easterly low-level flow and SSE upper-level winds will favor the E slopes of the Cascades, so expect fairly comparable precipitation amounts on both sides of the Cascades. Most areas can expect 0.5-1.5" of snow water equivalent by the end of the day Saturday, translating to 6-18" of snow above the shifting rain-snow line.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Night Cloudy with increasing chances of light rain or snow showers.
Mostly cloudy in the morning with a chance of rain or snow showers; becoming cloudy with light rain and snow showers increasing.
West North
Thursday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with a chance of light rain and snow showers after midnight.
Cloudy with a few light rain and snow.
West Central
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers at times.
Cloudy with a few light rain and snow showers at times.
West South
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers at times.
Partly cloudy in the morning, then cloudy with increasing light rain and snow.
Stevens Pass
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers at times. Light ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass shifts E in the early morning hours.
Mostly cloudy with increasing chances of light rain and snow showers. Increasing light ridgeline and light E wind at the Pass.
Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers at times. Light ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass shifts E in the early morning hours.
Mostly cloudy with increasing chances of light rain and snow showers. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline and light to occasionally moderate E wind at the Pass.
East North
Thursday Night Partly cloudy with clouds increasing in the early morning hours.
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light rain or snow showers in the afternoon.
East Central
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with clouds increasing in the early morning hours.
Mostly cloudy with increasing clouds and light rain or snow showers developing in the afternoon.
East South
Thursday Night Partly cloudy with a chance of sprinkles or flurries near the Cascade Crest.
Mostly cloudy with increasing clouds and light rain or snow showers developing in the afternoon.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night High overcast. Mild.
A high overcast to start the day, then light rain and snow showers develop around the mid-day hours. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level None' None' None' None' 5000' 5000' None' 6500'
Thursday Night Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 5000' 5000' None' 7000'
Friday Morning Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 6500' 6500' None' 7500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 5500' 5500' None' 6000'
Friday Evening Snow Level* None' None' None' None' 5500' 6000' None' 6000'
Friday Night Snow Level None' None' None' None' 5000' 5000' None' 5000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level None' None' None' None' 4000' 4000' None' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
None'
Thursday Night Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
None'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
None'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
None'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Paradise LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0.50 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SW None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SSW None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None SSE None - None
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening SW None - None
Thursday Night SSW None - None
Friday Morning SSE None - None
Friday Afternoon SSE None - None
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW None - None
Thursday Night SSW None - None
Friday Morning SSE None - None
Friday Afternoon SSE None - None

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None --- None - None
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening --- None - None
Thursday Night --- None - None
Friday Morning --- None - None
Friday Afternoon --- None - None

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Monday

The upper low morphs into a broad trough Saturday night as the surface feature shifts across the Cascades. Flow shifts NNWerly through Sunday with light rain and snow showers continuing for the central Washington Cascades south to Mt Hood. Snow levels drop to around 3000 ft by Sunday. Temperatures remain cool Sunday night with clearing skies as a subtle shortwave ridge moves over the region. A shortwave trough arrives with scattered showers and 3000-3500 ft snow levels on Monday.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Sunday Night Snow Level None' - None' None' - None' None' - None'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Snow Level
None' - None'
Sunday Night Snow Level
None' - None'
Monday Snow Level
None' - None'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from March 21, 2024

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